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NIR 北愛爾蘭超級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

利菲特 vs 巴里米納聯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝55%
24%
客勝21%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝55% selection probability
Projected score2–1利菲特巴里米納聯
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
55% / 24% / 21%比賽結果主勝55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 巴里米納聯 win (21.1%)雙勝彩1X78.9%1.27
大 46% · 小 54%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 40% · 否 60%雙方進球60%1.67
2.50 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gap利菲特 winDifference+1.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
利菲特 win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
巴里米納聯 win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

利菲特1.87

主隊 share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 46% · 54%

巴里米納聯0.63

客隊 share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

利菲特

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

巴里米納聯

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
贏 probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
利菲特巴里米納聯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01利菲特 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02巴里米納聯 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

利菲特 vs 巴里米納聯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

利菲特 55%, 24%,巴里米納聯 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 大2.5 46% · Current selection