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NIR Северная Ирландия - Премьер-лига · Round 1 ·

Линфилд vs Балимена Юнайтед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛинфилдБалимена Юнайтед
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 24% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Балимена Юнайтед win (21.1%)Двойной шанс1X78.9%1.27
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapЛинфилд winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Линфилд win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Балимена Юнайтед win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Линфилд1.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Балимена Юнайтед0.63

Гости share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Линфилд

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Балимена Юнайтед

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
ЛинфилдБалимена Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Линфилд signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Балимена Юнайтед signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Линфилд vs Балимена Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Линфилд выигрыш 55%,Ничья 24%,Балимена Юнайтед выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше