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NIR Irlanda de Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 24% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Șansă dublă1X78.9%1.27
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Egal24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Gazde share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Oaspeți share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield câștig 55%,Egal 24%,Ballymena Utd câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub