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NIR Irlanda de Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde17%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți63%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
17% / 20% / 63%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (17.4%)Șansă dublăX282.6%1.21
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDungannon Swifts winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dungannon Swifts win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp
Egal20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Coleraine win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Gazde share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Coleraine2.49

Oaspeți share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Câștig probability excluding draw
63%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts câștig 17%,Egal 20%,Coleraine câștig 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste