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NIR Nordirland - NIFL Premiership · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr17%
Uafgjort20%
Udesejr63%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
17% / 20% / 63%KampresultatUdesejr63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (17.4%)DobbeltchanceX282.6%1.21
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Begge hold scorerJa57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDungannon Swifts winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dungannon Swifts win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp
Uafgjort20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Coleraine win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Hjemme share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Coleraine2.49

Ude share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vundet probability excluding draw
63%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts vundet 17%,Uafgjort 20%,Coleraine vundet 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over