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NIR Irlande du Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile18%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur59%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
18% / 23% / 59%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (18.2%)Double chanceX281.8%1.22
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Dungannon Swifts win18%5.56
Nul23%4.35
Coleraine win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Domicile share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Coleraine2.49

Extérieur share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gagné probability excluding draw
59%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts victoire 18%,Nul 23%,Coleraine victoire 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de