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NIR Irlande du Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile53%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur23%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile53% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
53% / 24% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Plus de 71% · Moins de 29%Goals 2.5Plus de71%1.41
Oui 66% · Non 34%Les deux équipes marquentOui66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Cliftonville win53%1.89
Nul24%4.17
Crusaders win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Domicile share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 71% · Moins de 29%

Crusaders1.27

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 66% · Non 34%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville victoire 53%,Nul 24%,Crusaders victoire 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Plus de 2.5 71% · Current selection Plus de