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NIR Noord-Ierland - NIFL Premiership · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst18%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst59%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
18% / 23% / 59%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (18.2%)Dubbele KansX281.8%1.22
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Dungannon Swifts win18%5.56
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Coleraine win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Thuis share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

Coleraine2.49

Uit share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
59%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts gewonnen 18%,Gelijkspel 23%,Coleraine gewonnen 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven