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NIR Irlanda del Nord - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 24% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Doppia Chance1X78.9%1.27
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Casa share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield vinta 55%,Pareggio 24%,Ballymena Utd vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto