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NIR Severní Irsko - NIFL Premiership · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích55%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostů21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně54% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
55% / 24% / 21%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Dvojitá šance1X78.9%1.27
Více 46% · Méně 54%Goals 2.5Méně54%1.85
Ano 40% · Ne 60%Oba týmy skórujíNe60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Remíza24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Domácí share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 46% · Méně 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Hosté share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 40% · Ne 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield výhra 55%,Remíza 24%,Ballymena Utd výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Více 2.5 46% · Current selection Méně