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NIR Irlandia Północna - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Carrick Rangers vs Portadown

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości25%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Carrick RangersPortadown
Expected goals3.24Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 25% / 25%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Portadown win (24.7%)Podwójna szansa1X75.3%1.33
Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%Goals 2.5Powyżej63%1.59
Tak 61% · Nie 39%Obie drużyny strzeląTak61%1.64
3.24 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Carrick Rangers win50%2.00
Remis25%4.00
Portadown win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Carrick Rangers2.07

Gospodarze share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals3.24Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%

Portadown1.17

Goście share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 61% · Nie 39%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Carrick Rangers

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Portadown

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.07
Expected goals
1.17
Carrick RangersPortadown
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Carrick Rangers signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Portadown signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Carrick Rangers wygrana 50%,Remis 25%,Portadown wygrana 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Powyżej 2.5 63% · Current selection Powyżej