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NIR 北アイルランド プレミアシップ · Round 1 ·

キャリック・レンジャーズ vs ポータダウン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利25%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score2–1キャリック・レンジャーズポータダウン
Expected goals3.24始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 25% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ポータダウン win (24.7%)ダブルチャンス1X75.3%1.33
オーバー 63% · アンダー 37%Goals 2.5オーバー63%1.59
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.24 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
キャリック・レンジャーズ win50%2.00
引き分け25%4.00
ポータダウン win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

キャリック・レンジャーズ2.07

ホーム share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals3.24始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 63% · アンダー 37%

ポータダウン1.17

アウェイ share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

キャリック・レンジャーズ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポータダウン

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.07
Expected goals
1.17
キャリック・レンジャーズポータダウン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01キャリック・レンジャーズ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポータダウン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

キャリック・レンジャーズ vs ポータダウン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

キャリック・レンジャーズ 勝ち 50%,引き分け 25%,ポータダウン 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · オーバー 2.5 63% · Current selection オーバー