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NIR Северна Ирландия - Висша Лига · Round 1 ·

Карик Рейнджърс vs Портадаун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен26%
Победа за госта25%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Карик РейнджърсПортадаун
Expected goals3.24Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 26% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Портадаун win (24.7%)Двоен шанс1X75.3%1.33
Над 63% · Под 37%Goals 2.5Над63%1.59
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.24 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Карик Рейнджърс win50%2.00
Равен26%3.85
Портадаун win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Карик Рейнджърс2.07

Домакин share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals3.24Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 63% · Под 37%

Портадаун1.17

Гост share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Карик Рейнджърс

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Портадаун

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.07
Expected goals
1.17
Карик РейнджърсПортадаун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Карик Рейнджърс signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Портадаун signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Карик Рейнджърс vs Портадаун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Карик Рейнджърс печеливш 50%,Равен 26%,Портадаун печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Над 2.5 63% · Current selection Над