Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 28% / 11%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Double chance1X88.6%1.13
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
2.34 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Moron win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Draw28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 79.1%
Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%
Away share of expected goals 20.9%
Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCD Moron
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchAcassuso
DDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
11%4
Points from supplied form
31.85
Expected goals
0.49CD MoronAcassuso
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
CD Moron vs Acassuso FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Moron win 60%，Draw 28%，Acassuso win 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under。