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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partida ·

CD Morón vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–02.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa60%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante11%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MorónAcassuso
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
60% / 28% / 11%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Dupla Chance1X88.6%1.13
Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%Goals 2.5Abaixo59%1.69
Sim 33% · Não 67%Ambas as equipes marcamNão67%1.49
2.34 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–0
8.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Morón win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Morón1.85

Mandante share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%

Acassuso0.49

Visitante share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitSim 33% · Não 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CD Morón

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
0.49
CD MorónAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Morón signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Morón vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Morón ganhou 60%,Empate 28%,Acassuso ganhou 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Acima 2.5 41% · Current selection Abaixo