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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Kamp ·

CD Moron vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–02.34 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier60%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier11%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MoronAcassuso
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
60% / 28% / 11%KampresultatHjemmeseier60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X88.6%1.13
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Ja 33% · Nei 67%Begge lag scorerNei67%1.49
2.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–0
8.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Moron win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.85

Hjemme share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Acassuso0.49

Borte share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 33% · Nei 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CD Moron

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
0.49
CD MoronAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron vunnet 60%,Uavgjort 28%,Acassuso vunnet 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under