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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Maç ·

CD Moron vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–02.34 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır60%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır11%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MoronAcassuso
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt59% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
60% / 28% / 11%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Çifte Şans1X88.6%1.13
Üst 41% · Alt 59%Goals 2.5Alt59%1.69
Evet 33% · Hayır 67%Karşılıklı gol varHayır67%1.49
2.34 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–0
8.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Moron win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.85

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 41% · Alt 59%

Acassuso0.49

Deplasman share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitEvet 33% · Hayır 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

CD Moron

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
0.49
CD MoronAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron kazanç 60%,Beraberlik 28%,Acassuso kazanç 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · 2.5 Üst 41% · Current selection Alt