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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · 試合 ·

CDモロン vs アカスソ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–02.34 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利60%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利11%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CDモロンアカスソ
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
60% / 28% / 11%試合結果ホーム勝利60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アカスソ win (11.4%)ダブルチャンス1X88.6%1.13
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
2.34 total expected goals正確なスコア2–0
8.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CDモロン win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
アカスソ win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CDモロン1.85

ホーム share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

アカスソ0.49

アウェイ share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CDモロン

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アカスソ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
勝ち probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
0.49
CDモロンアカスソ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CDモロン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アカスソ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CDモロン vs アカスソ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CDモロン 勝ち 60%,引き分け 28%,アカスソ 勝ち 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー