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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · 試合 ·

CAコレギアーレス vs パトロナート・デ・パラナ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–01.63 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利46%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利46% selection probability
Projected score1–0CAコレギアーレスパトロナート・デ・パラナ
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー78% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
46% / 33% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes パトロナート・デ・パラナ win (20.9%)ダブルチャンス1X79.1%1.26
オーバー 22% · アンダー 78%Goals 2.5アンダー78%1.28
はい 26% · いいえ 74%両チーム得点いいえ74%1.35
1.63 total expected goals正確なスコア1–0
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCAコレギアーレス winDifference+0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CAコレギアーレス win46%2.172.0545.3%+0.7 pp
引き分け33%3.032.8033.2%-0.2 pp
パトロナート・デ・パラナ win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CAコレギアーレス1.15

ホーム share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 22% · アンダー 78%

パトロナート・デ・パラナ0.48

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitはい 26% · いいえ 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CAコレギアーレス

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

パトロナート・デ・パラナ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.15
Expected goals
0.48
CAコレギアーレスパトロナート・デ・パラナ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CAコレギアーレス signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02パトロナート・デ・パラナ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CAコレギアーレス vs パトロナート・デ・パラナ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CAコレギアーレス 勝ち 46%,引き分け 33%,パトロナート・デ・パラナ 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · オーバー 2.5 22% · Current selection アンダー