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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · 試合 ·

コロン vs CAサンテルモ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.05 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利61%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利13%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利61% selection probability
Projected score2–1コロンCAサンテルモ
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー66% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
61% / 25% / 13%試合結果ホーム勝利61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CAサンテルモ win (13.4%)ダブルチャンス1X86.6%1.15
オーバー 34% · アンダー 66%Goals 2.5アンダー66%1.52
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
2.05 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapコロン winDifference-0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
コロン win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp
引き分け25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
CAサンテルモ win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

コロン1.50

ホーム share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 34% · アンダー 66%

CAサンテルモ0.55

アウェイ share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

コロン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CAサンテルモ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
勝ち probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.50
Expected goals
0.55
コロンCAサンテルモ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01コロン signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CAサンテルモ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

コロン vs CAサンテルモ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

コロン 勝ち 61%,引き分け 25%,CAサンテルモ 勝ち 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · オーバー 2.5 34% · Current selection アンダー