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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Spiel ·

Colón vs CA San Telmo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.05 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg61%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg13%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg61% selection probability
Projected score2–1ColónCA San Telmo
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
61% / 25% / 13%SpielergebnisHeimsieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA San Telmo win (13.4%)Doppelte Chance1X86.6%1.15
Über 34% · Unter 66%Goals 2.5Unter66%1.52
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
2.05 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColón winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colón win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
CA San Telmo win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colón1.50

Heim share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 34% · Unter 66%

CA San Telmo0.55

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Colón

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA San Telmo

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.50
Expected goals
0.55
ColónCA San Telmo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colón signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA San Telmo signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Colón vs CA San Telmo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colón Gewinn 61%,Unentschieden 25%,CA San Telmo Gewinn 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Über 2.5 34% · Current selection Unter