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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Матч ·

Колон vs CA San Telmo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.05 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев61%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей13%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев61% selection probability
Projected score2–1КолонCA San Telmo
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
61% / 25% / 13%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA San Telmo win (13.4%)Двойной шанс1X86.6%1.15
Больше 34% · Меньше 66%Goals 2.5Меньше66%1.52
Да 33% · Нет 67%Обе забьютНет67%1.49
2.05 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapКолон winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Колон win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
CA San Telmo win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Колон1.50

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 34% · Меньше 66%

CA San Telmo0.55

Гости share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Нет 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Колон

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

CA San Telmo

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.50
Expected goals
0.55
КолонCA San Telmo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Колон signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA San Telmo signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Колон vs CA San Telmo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Колон выигрыш 61%,Ничья 25%,CA San Telmo выигрыш 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · ТБ 2.5 34% · Current selection Меньше