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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Meci ·

Colon vs CA San Telmo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.05 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde61%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde61% selection probability
Projected score2–1ColonCA San Telmo
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub66% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
61% / 25% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA San Telmo win (13.4%)Șansă dublă1X86.6%1.15
Peste 34% · Sub 66%Goals 2.5Sub66%1.52
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
2.05 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColon winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colon win61%1.641.5361.5%-0.5 pp
Egal25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
CA San Telmo win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colon1.50

Gazde share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 34% · Sub 66%

CA San Telmo0.55

Oaspeți share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Colon

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

CA San Telmo

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.50
Expected goals
0.55
ColonCA San Telmo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colon signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA San Telmo signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Colon vs CA San Telmo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colon câștig 61%,Egal 25%,CA San Telmo câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Peste 2.5 34% · Current selection Sub