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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Meci ·

CD Moron vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–02.34 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți11%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MoronAcassuso
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 28% / 11%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Șansă dublă1X88.6%1.13
Peste 41% · Sub 59%Goals 2.5Sub59%1.69
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
2.34 total expected goalsScor corect2–0
8.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Moron win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Egal28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.85

Gazde share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 41% · Sub 59%

Acassuso0.49

Oaspeți share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

CD Moron

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
0.49
CD MoronAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron câștig 60%,Egal 28%,Acassuso câștig 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Peste 2.5 41% · Current selection Sub