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ARG 阿根廷乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

CD莫龍 vs 阿卡蘇索

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–02.34 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝60%
28%
客勝11%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD莫龍阿卡蘇索
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.559% for the selected side
雙方進球67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
60% / 28% / 11%比賽結果主勝60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 阿卡蘇索 win (11.4%)雙重機會1X88.6%1.13
大 41% · 小 59%Goals 2.559%1.69
是 33% · 否 67%雙方進球67%1.49
2.34 total expected goals正確比分2–0
8.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD莫龍 win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
阿卡蘇索 win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD莫龍1.85

主隊 share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 41% · 59%

阿卡蘇索0.49

客隊 share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS split 33% · 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

CD莫龍

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿卡蘇索

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
贏 probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
0.49
CD莫龍阿卡蘇索
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD莫龍 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿卡蘇索 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD莫龍 vs 阿卡蘇索 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD莫龍 60%, 28%,阿卡蘇索 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · 大2.5 41% · Current selection