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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partido ·

CD Morón vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–02.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local60%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante11%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MorónAcassuso
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
60% / 28% / 11%Resultado del partidoVictoria local60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X88.6%1.13
Más de 41% · Menos de 59%Goals 2.5Menos de59%1.69
Sí 33% · No 67%Ambos equipos marcanNo67%1.49
2.33 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–0
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Morón win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Morón1.84

Local share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 41% · Menos de 59%

Acassuso0.49

Visitante share of expected goals 21%

Projected score2–0BTTS split 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Morón

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Ganado probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.49
CD MorónAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Morón signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Morón vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Morón ganada 60%,Empate 28%,Acassuso ganada 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Más de 2.5 41% · Current selection Menos de