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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Мач ·

КД Морон vs Акасусо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–02.33 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен28%
Победа за госта11%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–0КД МоронАкасусо
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под59% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 28% / 11%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Акасусо win (11.4%)Двоен шанс1X88.6%1.13
Над 41% · Под 59%Goals 2.5Под59%1.69
Да 33% · Не 67%И двата отбора да отбележатНе67%1.49
2.33 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–0
8.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
КД Морон win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Равен28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Акасусо win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КД Морон1.84

Домакин share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 41% · Под 59%

Акасусо0.49

Гост share of expected goals 21%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitДа 33% · Не 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

КД Морон

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Акасусо

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.49
КД МоронАкасусо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КД Морон signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Акасусо signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

КД Морон vs Акасусо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КД Морон печеливш 60%,Равен 28%,Акасусо печеливш 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Над 2.5 41% · Current selection Под