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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

CD Moron vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–02.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur11%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MoronAcassuso
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 28% / 11%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Double chance1X88.6%1.13
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
2.33 total expected goalsScore exact2–0
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Moron win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Nul28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.84

Domicile share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

Acassuso0.49

Extérieur share of expected goals 21%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

CD Moron

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.49
CD MoronAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron victoire 60%,Nul 28%,Acassuso victoire 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de