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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Zápas ·

CD Morón vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–02.33 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích60%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů11%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MorónAcassuso
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně59% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
60% / 28% / 11%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Dvojitá šance1X88.6%1.13
Více 41% · Méně 59%Goals 2.5Méně59%1.69
Ano 33% · Ne 67%Oba týmy skórujíNe67%1.49
2.33 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–0
8.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Morón win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Morón1.84

Domácí share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 41% · Méně 59%

Acassuso0.49

Hosté share of expected goals 21%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitAno 33% · Ne 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

CD Morón

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.49
CD MorónAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Morón signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Morón vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Morón výhra 60%,Remíza 28%,Acassuso výhra 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Více 2.5 41% · Current selection Méně