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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Zápas ·

CD Moron vs Acassuso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–02.33 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich60%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí11%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich60% selection probability
Projected score2–0CD MoronAcassuso
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej59% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
60% / 28% / 11%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Acassuso win (11.4%)Dvojitá šanca1X88.6%1.13
Viac 41% · Menej 59%Goals 2.5Menej59%1.69
Áno 33% · Nie 67%Oba tímy skórujúNie67%1.49
2.33 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–0
8.3 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Moron win60%1.671.5759.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Acassuso win11%9.098.0011.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.84

Domáci share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 41% · Menej 59%

Acassuso0.49

Hostia share of expected goals 21%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitÁno 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

CD Moron

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Acassuso

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
11%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.49
CD MoronAcassuso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Acassuso signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Acassuso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–0 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron výhra 60%,Remíza 28%,Acassuso výhra 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Viac 2.5 41% · Current selection Menej