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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 32% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano win (27.6%)Double chance1X72.4%1.38
Plus de 33% · Moins de 67%Goals 2.5Moins de67%1.49
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Mitre win40%2.502.3839.7%+0.3 pp
Nul32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores de Belgrano win28%3.573.4027.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Mitre1.18

Domicile share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 33% · Moins de 67%

Defensores de Belgrano0.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Mitre

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.83
Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Mitre signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Mitre victoire 40%,Nul 32%,Defensores de Belgrano victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Plus de 2.5 33% · Current selection Moins de