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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Fixture ·

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw32%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 32% / 28%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano win (27.5%)Double chance1X72.5%1.38
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Mitre win40%2.502.3839.7%+0.3 pp
Draw32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores de Belgrano win28%3.573.4027.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Mitre1.18

Home share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%

Defensores de Belgrano0.83

Away share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Mitre

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.83
Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Mitre signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Mitre win 40%,Draw 32%,Defensores de Belgrano win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under