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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 32% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano win (27.6%)Dubbelchans1X72.4%1.38
Över 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Ja 40% · Nej 60%Båda lagen gör målNej60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Mitre win40%2.502.3839.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores de Belgrano win28%3.573.4027.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Mitre1.18

Hemma share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 33% · Under 67%

Defensores de Belgrano0.83

Borta share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nej 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Mitre

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.83
Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Mitre signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Mitre vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 32%,Defensores de Belgrano vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Över 2.5 33% · Current selection Under