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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Spiel ·

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 32% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Belgrano win (27.6%)Doppelte Chance1X72.4%1.38
Über 33% · Unter 67%Goals 2.5Unter67%1.49
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Mitre win40%2.502.3839.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Defensores de Belgrano win28%3.573.4027.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Mitre1.18

Heim share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 33% · Unter 67%

Defensores de Belgrano0.83

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Mitre

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Defensores de Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.18
Expected goals
0.83
Club Atletico MitreDefensores de Belgrano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Mitre signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Belgrano signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Mitre Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 32%,Defensores de Belgrano Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Über 2.5 33% · Current selection Unter