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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Spiel ·

CA Colegiales vs Patronato Parana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–01.63 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA ColegialesPatronato Parana
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter78% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 33% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (20.9%)Doppelte Chance1X79.1%1.26
Über 22% · Unter 78%Goals 2.5Unter78%1.28
Ja 26% · Nein 74%Beide Teams treffenNein74%1.35
1.63 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–0
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCA Colegiales winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Colegiales win46%2.172.0545.3%+0.7 pp
Unentschieden33%3.032.8033.2%-0.2 pp
Patronato Parana win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.15

Heim share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 22% · Unter 78%

Patronato Parana0.48

Auswärts share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 26% · Nein 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Patronato Parana

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.15
Expected goals
0.48
CA ColegialesPatronato Parana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato Parana signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Patronato Parana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 33%,Patronato Parana Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Über 2.5 22% · Current selection Unter