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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Fixture ·

CA Colegiales vs Patronato Parana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–01.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw33%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA ColegialesPatronato Parana
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 33% / 21%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (20.9%)Double chance1X79.1%1.26
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 26% · No 74%Both teams scoreNo74%1.35
1.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCA Colegiales winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Colegiales win46%2.172.0545.3%+0.7 pp
Draw33%3.032.8033.2%-0.2 pp
Patronato Parana win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.15

Home share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Patronato Parana0.48

Away share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Patronato Parana

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.15
Expected goals
0.48
CA ColegialesPatronato Parana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato Parana signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Patronato Parana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales win 46%,Draw 33%,Patronato Parana win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under