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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partido ·

CA Colegiales vs Patronato de Paraná

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–01.63 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate33%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA ColegialesPatronato de Paraná
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de78% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 33% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato de Paraná win (20.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.1%1.26
Más de 22% · Menos de 78%Goals 2.5Menos de78%1.28
Sí 26% · No 74%Ambos equipos marcanNo74%1.35
1.63 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–0
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCA Colegiales winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Colegiales win46%2.172.0545.3%+0.7 pp
Empate33%3.032.8033.2%-0.2 pp
Patronato de Paraná win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.15

Local share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 22% · Menos de 78%

Patronato de Paraná0.48

Visitante share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Patronato de Paraná

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.15
Expected goals
0.48
CA ColegialesPatronato de Paraná
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato de Paraná signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Patronato de Paraná FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales ganada 46%,Empate 33%,Patronato de Paraná ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Más de 2.5 22% · Current selection Menos de