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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Матч ·

CA Colegiales vs Патронато Парана

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–01.63 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA ColegialesПатронато Парана
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше78% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 33% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Патронато Парана win (20.9%)Двойной шанс1X79.1%1.26
Больше 22% · Меньше 78%Goals 2.5Меньше78%1.28
Да 26% · Нет 74%Обе забьютНет74%1.35
1.63 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–0
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCA Colegiales winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Colegiales win46%2.172.0545.3%+0.7 pp
Ничья33%3.032.8033.2%-0.2 pp
Патронато Парана win21%4.764.3321.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.15

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 22% · Меньше 78%

Патронато Парана0.48

Гости share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 26% · Нет 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Патронато Парана

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.15
Expected goals
0.48
CA ColegialesПатронато Парана
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Патронато Парана signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Патронато Парана FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales выигрыш 46%,Ничья 33%,Патронато Парана выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · ТБ 2.5 22% · Current selection Меньше