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JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

V・ファーレン長崎 vs 京都サンガFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利32%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1V・ファーレン長崎京都サンガFC
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー58% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
32% / 30% / 38%試合結果アウェイ勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)ダブルチャンス1269.9%1.43
オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%Goals 2.5アンダー58%1.72
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.36 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
V・ファーレン長崎 win32%3.13
引き分け30%3.33
京都サンガFC win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

V・ファーレン長崎1.09

ホーム share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%

京都サンガFC1.27

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

V・ファーレン長崎

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

京都サンガFC

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.09
Expected goals
1.27
V・ファーレン長崎京都サンガFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01V・ファーレン長崎 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02京都サンガFC signalアウェイ failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

V・ファーレン長崎 vs 京都サンガFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

V・ファーレン長崎 勝ち 32%,引き分け 30%,京都サンガFC 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · オーバー 2.5 42% · Current selection アンダー