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JPN Ιαπωνία - J-League · Round 1 ·

Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ vs Κιοτο Σανγκα FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου30%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Β-Βάρεν ΝαγκασάκΚιοτο Σανγκα FC
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
30% / 29% / 40%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.6%1.42
Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%Goals 2.5Κάτω58%1.72
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ win30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2029.5%-0.5 pp
Κιοτο Σανγκα FC win40%2.502.3540.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ1.09

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%

Κιοτο Σανγκα FC1.27

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κιοτο Σανγκα FC

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.09
Expected goals
1.27
Β-Βάρεν ΝαγκασάκΚιοτο Σανγκα FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κιοτο Σανγκα FC signalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ vs Κιοτο Σανγκα FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Β-Βάρεν Ναγκασάκ νίκη 30%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Κιοτο Σανγκα FC νίκη 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Άνω 2.5 42% · Current selection Κάτω