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JPN Ιαπωνία - J-League · Round 1 ·

Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους vs Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ναγκόγια ΓκράμπουςΣιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 28% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.7%1.39
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 54% · Όχι 46%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους win43%2.33
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους1.58

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε1.12

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 54% · Όχι 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.12
Ναγκόγια ΓκράμπουςΣιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους vs Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ναγκόγια Γκράμπους νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Σιμίζου Σ-Πούλσε νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω