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JPN Japan J-League · Round 1 ·

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng43%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng29%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
43% / 28% / 29%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Cơ hội kép1271.7%1.39
Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%Goals 2.5Tài51%1.96
Có 54% · Không 46%Cả hai đội ghi bàn54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Nagoya Grampus win43%2.33
Hòa28%3.57
Shimizu S-Pulse win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagoya Grampus1.58

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%

Shimizu S-Pulse1.12

Khách share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · Không 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Nagoya Grampus

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà won 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Shimizu S-Pulse

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Thắng probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.12
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagoya Grampus signalChủ nhà won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shimizu S-Pulse signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagoya Grampus thắng 43%,Hòa 28%,Shimizu S-Pulse thắng 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Tài 2.5 51% · Current selection Tài