Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 28% / 29%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Nagoya Grampus win43%2.33
Draw28%3.57
Shimizu S-Pulse win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.2%
Total expected goals2.73Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 41.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchNagoya Grampus
LLWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchShimizu S-Pulse
WLLDD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
29%9
Points from supplied form
51.59
Expected goals
1.14Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nagoya Grampus win 43%，Draw 28%，Shimizu S-Pulse win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。