Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 21% / 14%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (14.5%)Double chance1X85.5%1.17
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
JEF Utd Chiba win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.9%
Total expected goals2.79Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 30.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSanfrecce Hiroshima
WWWDL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchJEF Utd Chiba
LLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
65%
Win probability excluding draw
14%10
Points from supplied form
31.95
Expected goals
0.84Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 65%，Draw 21%，JEF Utd Chiba win 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。