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JPN Japão - J-League · Partida ·

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa65%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante14%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
65% / 21% / 14%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (14.5%)Dupla Chance1X85.5%1.17
Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%Goals 2.5Acima53%1.89
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Empate21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
JEF Utd Chiba win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.95

Mandante share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%

JEF Utd Chiba0.84

Visitante share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
14%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
0.84
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sanfrecce Hiroshima signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JEF Utd Chiba signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ganhou 65%,Empate 21%,JEF Utd Chiba ganhou 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Acima 2.5 53% · Current selection Acima