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JPN Japón - J League · Partido ·

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local65%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante14%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
65% / 21% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (14.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X85.5%1.17
Más de 52% · Menos de 48%Goals 2.5Más de52%1.92
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.75 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Empate21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
JEF Utd Chiba win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.93

Local share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 52% · Menos de 48%

JEF Utd Chiba0.82

Visitante share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.93
Expected goals
0.82
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sanfrecce Hiroshima signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JEF Utd Chiba signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ganada 65%,Empate 21%,JEF Utd Chiba ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Más de 2.5 52% · Current selection Más de