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JPN Japonsko - J-League · Zápas ·

Sanfrecce Hirošima vs JEF Utd Chiba

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích65%
Remíza21%
Výhra hostů14%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sanfrecce HirošimaJEF Utd Chiba
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více53% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
65% / 21% / 14%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (14.5%)Dvojitá šance1X85.5%1.17
Více 53% · Méně 47%Goals 2.5Více53%1.89
Ano 49% · Ne 51%Oba týmy skórujíNe51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sanfrecce Hirošima win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
JEF Utd Chiba win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sanfrecce Hirošima1.95

Domácí share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 53% · Méně 47%

JEF Utd Chiba0.84

Hosté share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 49% · Ne 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Sanfrecce Hirošima

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Výhra probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.95
Expected goals
0.84
Sanfrecce HirošimaJEF Utd Chiba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sanfrecce Hirošima signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JEF Utd Chiba signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sanfrecce Hirošima vs JEF Utd Chiba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sanfrecce Hirošima výhra 65%,Remíza 21%,JEF Utd Chiba výhra 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Více 2.5 53% · Current selection Více