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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Мач ·

Санфрече Хирошима vs ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина65%
Равен21%
Победа за госта14%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Санфрече ХирошимаДЖЕФ Юн Чиба
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
65% / 21% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба win (14.5%)Двоен шанс1X85.5%1.17
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.75 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapДЖЕФ Юн Чиба winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Санфрече Хирошима win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Равен21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Санфрече Хирошима1.93

Домакин share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба0.82

Гост share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Санфрече Хирошима

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.93
Expected goals
0.82
Санфрече ХирошимаДЖЕФ Юн Чиба
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Санфрече Хирошима signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Санфрече Хирошима vs ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Санфрече Хирошима печеливш 65%,Равен 21%,ДЖЕФ Юн Чиба печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над