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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Round 1 ·

ФК Токио vs Мачида Зелвия

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен33%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК ТокиоМачида Зелвия
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под69% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 33% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мачида Зелвия win (29.4%)Двоен шанс1X70.6%1.42
Над 31% · Под 69%Goals 2.5Под69%1.45
Да 39% · Не 61%И двата отбора да отбележатНе61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.9 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
ФК Токио win38%2.63
Равен33%3.03
Мачида Зелвия win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Токио1.09

Домакин share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 31% · Под 69%

Мачида Зелвия0.85

Гост share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Не 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Токио

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин failed to score: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мачида Зелвия

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
0.85
ФК ТокиоМачида Зелвия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Токио signalДомакин failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мачида Зелвия signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

ФК Токио vs Мачида Зелвия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Токио печеливш 38%,Равен 33%,Мачида Зелвия печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Над 2.5 31% · Current selection Под