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JPN Jaapani J-League · Round 1 ·

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit38%
Viik32%
Võõrsilvõit29%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit38% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla69% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
38% / 32% / 29%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Machida Zelvia win (29.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X70.6%1.42
Üle 31% · Alla 69%Goals 2.5Alla69%1.45
Jah 39% · Ei 61%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
FC Tokyo win38%2.63
Viik32%3.13
Machida Zelvia win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Tokyo1.09

Kodu share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 31% · Alla 69%

Machida Zelvia0.85

Võõras share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 39% · Ei 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FC Tokyo

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu failed to score: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punktid11

SignalVõõras unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Võit probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
0.85
FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Tokyo signalKodu failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalVõõras unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Tokyo võit 38%,Viik 32%,Machida Zelvia võit 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Üle 2.5 31% · Current selection Alla